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Yesterday’s results: No trades suggested.Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Short 6091.75 stop 6095.25. Buy 6094.50 stop 6091 if price retraces down from above.Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) dips from +21 to -7 with sentiment mixed on low volatility.Â
Catalysts:Â Revised Non-Farm Productivity & Unit Labor Costs @ 8:30.Â
Quick Tip: Fear No More
Fear paralyzes progress in anything you do. In trading, there are 5 types of fear. Recognizing you’re susceptible to them is the first step to a solution.Â
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) – you can’t tolerate watching a winning trade from the sidelines. This breeds impulsivity. Solution: Have an abundance of trade opportunities using multiple strategies tuned to different market conditions.Â
Fear of Loss – you still feel upset about losing money. Solution: Lower your risk and find a strategy you have confidence in by practicing in simulation mode.Â
Fear of Being Wrong – you are embarrassed to be wrong and get mad at yourself when you ar...
Yesterday’s results: Buying 6100 stopped out. The short didn’t trigger.Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6065.00 stop 6061.25. Short 6062.00 stop 6065.75 if price retraces from below (filtered out during the Non-Farm Payrolls release). Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) jumps from +7 to +36 with most major world markets somewhat Bullish.Â
Catalysts: Employment Situation @ 8:30. Fed’s Bowman @ 9:15, Goolsbee @ 10:30, Hammack @ 12:00, Daly @ 13:00. UofM Consumer Sentiment @ 10:00.Â
Quick Tip: Discipline
Three celebrated authors on trading success, Mark Douglas, Van Tharp, and Alexander Elder, all agree that one aspect of trading is crucially important:Â
"The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading." - Mark Douglas
"Successful trading is not about being right; it’s about being disciplined. Discipline is the ability to follow one's trading plan, regardless of emotions or external inf...
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Yesterday’s results: No suggestions offered. Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6017.25 stop 6012.25. Short 6013.00 stop 6018.00 if price retraces up from below.Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) jumps -7 to +21 with sentiment mixed on low volatility.Â
Catalysts:Â No known catalysts today.Â
Quick Tip: Confront Reality
How is your trading going? That’s a question you should be asking yourself on a regular basis. Think hard, be critical, answer honestly. And don’t worry about talking to yourself, we all learned that it’s OK during Covid lockdown.Â
What you’ll find when you question your results critically are some trailheads for improvement. It might be as subtle as the quality of your record keeping or the consistency of your pre-trading routine.Â
Or it could be as important as the quality of your strategies. Are they firing on all cylinders? Are you in a drawdown, or close to one? What did you do differently during your last solid performance?Â
The only way to improve is...
Yesterday’s results: No suggestions offered. Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: No great levels today.Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) jumps from -29 to -7 with China/HK the only Bulls.Â
Catalysts:Â GDP, Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, Trade Balance @ 8:30. Chicago PMI @ 9:45. PCE, Personal Income/Spending, Pending Home Sales @ 10:00. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30.Â
Quick Tip: Being Grateful
Thanksgiving is the holiday that reminds all of us to practice gratitude. However, plenty of research has been done that proves we should be grateful more often. Like daily.Â
The list of benefits is long and in all cases will improve your trading performance!
1. Reduced anxiety.
2. Improves your ability to handle stress.
3. Increase happiness.Â
4. Improve relationships.Â
5. Boost productivity and goal achievement.Â
6. Increase positive emotions.Â
That’s an incredible list! How does it work?Â
Gratitude shifts attention away from negative emotions and fosters a sense of abundance, w...
Yesterday’s results: The suggested short didn’t trigger. No long was suggested.Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 5889.75 stop 5885.75. Short 5975.50 stop 5981.25.Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) rises from -21 to +29 with most major world markets mildly Bullish on low volatility.Â
Catalysts: Fed’s Barr @ 10:00, Cook @ 11:00 & Bowman @ 12:15. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. NVDA earnings after the close.Â
Quick Tip: Rightness
We have an innate desire to be right. Being wrong is the equivalent of failure. But in trading this shouldn’t matter. We obviously can’t control the market or perfectly predict the future. The best we can do is decide in advance how much profit or loss we’ll accept.Â
The late Mark Douglas, author of Trading in the Zone, said "When you achieve complete acceptance of the uncertainty of each edge and the uniqueness of each moment, your frustration with trading will end. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money."
This ...
Yesterday’s results: Buying 5036.25 was only good for a 6-point scalp. The short level didn’t trigger.Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 5895.50 stop 5589.75. Short 5975.50 stop 5981.25.Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) eases from -21 to -14 with all major world markets neutral to Bearish on low volatility.Â
Catalysts: Fed’s Goolsbee & NAHB Housing Market Index @ 10:00.Â
Quick Tip: Behave Yourself
Imagine starting in trading without any historical information. No price charts. No patterns to study. No economic information. No annual reports. What would you use to determine if it was time to buy or sell?Â
Thankfully, we needn’t dwell on that question at all. We have incredible historical information available that we can research for potential edge in our trading. However, the fact is that historical information is not a perfect predictor of the future. We can’t control the market.Â
The future we can control is our behavior. The result of every new day, every new trade i...
Friday’s results: Buying 5908.50 on the breakout was only good for a 4-point scalp.Â
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 5867.75 stop 5864.00. Short 5864.75 stop 5868.50 if price retraces up from below.Â
The World Index: (+100/-100) plummets from +43 to -36 with most of the world mildly Bearish on lower volatility.Â
Catalysts:Â FOMC Speakers; Logan @ 8:55, Kashkari @ 13:00. IMF Meeting starts.Â
Quick Tip: Belief #1
Success at trading, at anything, is formulaic. No one stays successful at anything without a proven formula to follow. What’s yours?Â
You may think it’s your trade plan. You may think you need the hottest strategies, the best broker, more risk capital, and better sources of information. All that surely helps but the foundation for your success starts within you. It’s your belief.Â
Do you honestly believe you can become a top-notch trader? Or are you thinking of giving it a try? Trying isn’t enough to overcome the challenges of anything worthwhile. It’s a negat...
Friday’s results: No trades triggered.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 5823.25 stop 5820.00. Short 5820.75 stop 5824.00 if price retraces up from below. Â
The World Index:Â (+100/-100) rises from zero to +21 with mixed sentiment on lower volatility.Â
Catalysts: Fed’s Kashkari @ 9:00, Waller @ 15:00.Â
Quick Tip: Performance Dips
Dedicated traders devote plenty of attention to reviewing their performance, just like professional athletes do. Sometimes we’ll see a dip in our results. Our equity curve will be flattening. We’ll ask ourselves “Is it the market or me?”Â
In his excellent book Atomic Habits author James Clear named chapter 20 The Downside of Creating Good Habits. Darn good title!Â
Here’s the gist of it: once we practice something enough to become skilled and automatic we become less aware of improving it. We stop looking for the mistakes. After all, once it’s a habit we’re not thinking about it that much.Â
Think about how well this applies to our trading. We ...
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