Results of Friday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Shorting 4598.50 was only good for a 6-point scalp but the general area held as the high including through the weekend.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4557.50 stop 4551.75. Short 4628.50 stop 4632.75.
The World Index: (+100/-100) falls from -14 to -50 with most major world markets Bearish.
Catalysts: Factory Orders @ 10:00.
Quick Tip: Get Fearful
We all trade to win and make a profit. The ups and downs happen along the way. The time to get laser-focused is when you’re feeling like you don’t need to.
The recent rally in the S&P has us closing in on all-time highs. Our team’s swing trading portfolio using Insiders Buys and Unusual Options Activity (long only trades) soared last week. It’s natural when everything...
Results of Thursday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buying 4551.00 was only good for a 4-point scalp. The breakout short failed.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4557.50 stop 4551.75. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) falls from +50 to -14 in a world of mixed sentiment.
Catalysts: Final MFG PMI @ 9:45. ISM MFG PMI & Prices @ 10:00. Fed’s Goolsbee @ 10:00, Powell @ 11:00 and 14:00.
Quick Tip: Measured Moves
Price tends to move in impulses and corrections. The impulse is the primary direction of the trend. The correction is the minor countertrend move.
Get in the habit of looking to the left on your trading chart and measuring these impulses and corrections. Frequently you’ll see patterns that repeat.
For example, an 8-point move higher, followed by a 3-point move lower, then...
Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Neither trade triggered.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4521.00 stop 4517.00. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) rises from -29 to -14 with Asia Bearish and the west Bullish.
Catalysts: GDP @ 8:30. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. Beige Book @ 14:00.
Quick Tip: UOA
Unusual Options Activity (UOA) is a great leading indicator of price. There are different ways to interpret exactly what qualifies an option to be “unusual” and how to utilize them in your trade selection.
The foundation is an extreme volume spike relative to small open interest (existing contracts not yet closed out).
Technical analysts generally agree that volume leads price, so this basis makes sense. If a stock is trading at $30 and massive volume occurs today in the $40...
Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buying 4551 filled in the Globex session early this morning running for 9.50 points so far, still open.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4521.00 stop 4517.00. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) rises from -43 to -29 with most major world markets mildly Bearish.
Catalysts: Home Price Index @ 9:00. Consumer Confidence, Richmond MFG Index, and Fed’s Goolsbee @ 10:00. More Fed speakers @ 10:05, 10:45, 13:05, and 15:30.
Quick Tip: Mastering Trading
George Leonard noted in his book Mastery that “Our culture has become hooked on the quick fix, the life hack, efficiency. Everyone is on the hunt for that simple action algorithm that nets maximum profit with the least amount of effort.”
Sounds like “Lottery Mentality.” And...
Results of Wednesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: No trades triggered.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4551.00 stop 4546.25. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) drops from +7 to -43 with most major world markets mildly Bearish.
Catalysts: New Home Sales @ 10:00.
Quick Tip: Lead or Lag?
The never-ending challenge in trading is forecasting future price direction using lagging information from technical indicators. Better than nothing but not good enough!
Significant research has proven that there are two superb Leading Indicators of stock price. Insider buying and Unusual Options Activity.
Combining the two is the perfect addition to your stock/options trading plan. Learn how in this free training session. Click here.
No disappointments!
...
Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Neither trade triggered.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4547.50 stop 4543.25. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) drops from +7 to -29 with the major world markets flat or modestly Bearish on low volatility.
Catalysts: Existing Home Sales @ 10:00. FOMC Meeting Minutes @ 14:00. NVDA earnings after the close.
Quick Tip: Be Different
“If you set out to be successful at something and you don’t know how to do it, look around at what everybody else is doing, and don’t do that…” Earl Nightingale
This advice is especially true with trading. If everyone traded the same way there would be no counter parties. We need plenty of different styles and opposing viewpoints for the markets to exist.
If you’re still struggling...
Results of Friday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buying 4517.00 caught the bottom of the day and offered 17.50 maximum before closing the session +11.00 points.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4521.00 stop 4517.00. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) eases from +14 to +7 in a world of mixed sentiment and low volatility.
Catalysts: Nothing important on the economic calendar.
Quick Tip: Insider Buying?
Back on May 3rd of this year I blogged about how effective using Insider Buying is for future stock performance. On that day there was widespread Insider buying in the banking industry during the plunge from a few bank failures.
Here’s how those trades worked out:
TCBI +38% before settling +17% now.
LKFN +18% now.
ZION +62% before...
Results of Tuesday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: The short at 4498.00 stopped out. The breakout ran for 19.25 points.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4430.00 stop 4425.75. Short 4598.50 stop 4604.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) soars from +7 to +64 with all major world markets solidly Bullish.
Catalysts: PPI, Retail Sales & Empire State MFG Index @ 8:30. Fed’s Barr @ 9:30. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30.
Quick Tip: Parabolic Moves
Yesterday was as fun as trading can be if you were long. Day, swing, or position trades all printed green.
For day trades you’re ready for a continuation or a reversal today. No worries. But for swing and position trades you have a tough decision to make.
The S&P is in a near parabolic move up. These simply don’t last forever, sometimes not for long at...
Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: There was a typo on the short yesterday, well below price. The long didn’t trigger.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4364.75 stop 4360.75. Short 4498.00 stop 4502.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) drops from +21 to +7 in a world of continuing mixed sentiment and low volatility.
Catalysts: CPI (watch Core) @ 8:30. Fed’s Barr @ 10:00. Fed’s Goolsbee @ 12:45.
Quick Tip: Big Picture
What’s your Big Picture? The correct answer depends on your time horizon (intended holding period) and trading chart time interval.
If you’re a day trader using a 5 or 10-minute chart, you’d be out by the end of the day and watching the behavior of the 30 or 60-minute chart.
If you’re a swing trader using a 60-minute chart, you’d be out in...
Results of Monday’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: There was a typo on the short yesterday, well below price. The long didn’t trigger.
Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points (consider wider stops and less size in fast moving markets):
Buy 4364.75 stop 4360.75. Short 4498.00 stop 4502.25.
The World Index: (+100/-100) drops from +21 to +7 in a world of continuing mixed sentiment and low volatility.
Catalysts: CPI (watch Core) @ 8:30. Fed’s Barr @ 10:00. Fed’s Goolsbee @ 12:45.
Quick Tip: Big Picture
What’s your Big Picture? The correct answer depends on your time horizon (intended holding period) and trading chart time interval.
If you’re a day trader using a 5 or 10-minute chart, you’d be out by the end of the day and watching the behavior of the 30 or 60-minute chart.
If you’re a swing trader using a 60-minute chart, you’d be out in...
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