Trading FOMC by Trade Aptitude

Yesterday’s results: No trades suggested.

Today’s Best S&P Futures Turning Points: Buy 6155 stop 6150.75 if price retraces down from above. No short level today. (Filtered out during FOMC volatility). 

The World Index: (+100/-100) jumps from -14 to +36 with most major world markets Bullish on mild volatility. 

Catalysts: Building Permits & Housing Starts @ 8:30. Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30. FOMC Statement @ 14:00, Press Conference @ 14:30. 

Quick Tip: Trading FOMC

The pattern tends to be range-bound before the announcement and volatile during and afterward. This should help with your trade selection and planning. In fact, if you have solid historical data on your strategy’s performance during FOMC day that is negative, not trading at all may make sense. 

The announcement releases at 2PM ET. You might think the highest volatility is within the 30-minute interval afterward. Historically, it’s the next 30-minute interval when the press conference begins.

When should you trade? After 3PM ET. Maybe a little before if the volatility and slippage calm down.

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Trade fearlessly,

Mike Siewruk

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